Stocks Surge on Geithner Pick

U.S. stocks surged Friday after word leaked that President-Elect Barack Obama plans to nominate New York Federal Reserve President Timothy J. Geithner as his nominee for U.S. Treasury Secretary.

There were other news items affecting the market Friday, including more fretting about the fates of Citigroup (C) and the U.S. auto industry. But major market indexes remained flat until reports of the Geithner pick arrived, sparking a rebound from Thursday's plunge to an 11-year low.

On Friday, the Dow Jones industrial average jumped 494.13 points, or 6.54%, to 8,046.42. The broad S&P 500 index gained 47.59 points, or 6.32%, to 800.03. And, the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite rose 68.23 points, or 5.18%, at 1,384.35.

On Thursday, by contrast, the Dow had plunged 444.99 points, and the S&P 500 closed at 752.44 -- its lowest level since April 1997. Friday's rally brings the S&P 500 back above its October 2002 lows.

Several market observers said Friday's reaction to the Geithner pick demonstrates a thirst for stronger leadership from Washington.

"There is a void of market confidence," says Bill Larkin, fixed income portfolio manager at Cabot Money Management.

In recent days, as stocks tumbled to levels not seen since the 1990s, many market commentators partly blamed confusing signals coming from Washington. Congress spent the week arguing but failing to agree on a bailout plan for General Motors (GM), Ford (F) and Chrysler. And, current Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson was criticized for shifts in the financial bailout plan.

Stocks rallied on the Geithner pick because "he's the right man at the right time," says Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Avalon Partners. As president of the New York Fed, Geithner was involved in Paulson's efforts to prop up the financial system, but there's hope he can also improve on the current administration's efforts. Geithner also served as a Treasury undersecretary during the Clinton administration and helped respond to the Asian economic crisis in 1997.

"He has a lot of experience and certainly he knows the canyons of the financial markets," Cardillo says.

"I expect [Geithner] will treat the current situation with the urgency that it deserves," says Ward McCarthy, principal at Stone & McCarthy Research Associates. "I also expect him to be far more creative than Treasury Secretary Paulson."

Financial markets may be reassured Obama didn't choose a fresh newcomer who wouldn't understand the players in the crisis and couldn't hit the ground running, Larkin says. The pick "had to be someone who is currently in the system."

It's expected that Obama will name several key members of his economic team next week. Reports Friday said New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson is Obama’s pick for commerce secretary.
Trading in stocks was active Friday, a day that November stock options expired. Bonds prices and the dollar index fell Friday, while gold and crude oil futures moved higher.

Also in the headlines, Congress headed home for Thanksgiving, leaving U.S. automakers still struggling for California loans to keep going. General Motors (GM) Friday extended its holiday shutdown and said it would make more production cuts.

Shares of Citigroup (C) fell almost 20% Friday, following Thursday's drop of 26%, its worst one-day percentage decline ever. Initially Citi stock was buoyed Friday by a Wall Street Journal report that Citi was weighing the possibility of auctioning off pieces of the financial giant or even selling the company outright. But chief executive Vikrum Pandit said on Friday he does not want to sell Citi's Smith Barney brokerage unit or break up the troubled bank, based on several news organizations' accounts of a Friday morning conference call with Pandit's staff.

Though the Geithner pick lifted the market's mood, investors have been continually reminded of the weak state of the economy both in the U.S. and globally.

On Friday, European stock markets fell, with major indexes in London, Frankfurt and Paris down 2% or more. Asian markets finished mixed, with Tokyo stocks rising 2.70% and Hong Kong gaining 2.93%, but Shanghai falling 0.72%.

In a speech Friday, a Fed official warned the U.S. economy could stay weak for quite a while. "We likely are in for a protracted period of poor economic performance," Charles Evans, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, said.

On Friday, President Bush signed into law an extension of jobless benefits. Earlier in the year, Bush expressed doubts about further benefit extensions, but he came to support the legislation as new figures showed new claims for jobless aid had reached a 16-year high. In what could be its last vote of the year, the Senate approved a measure Thursday that would provide up to three months of extra benefits for those whose unemployment benefits have run out or are about to expire. The House passed the bill in October.

There were no significant economic reports released Friday.

In other U.S. markets Friday, the 10-year Treasury note slipped 1-20/32 to 104-22/32 for a yield of 3.2%, while the 30-year Treasury bond dropped 4-06/32 to 114-12/32 for a yield of 3.69%.

December West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures hovered around the $50-per-barrel mark on Friday, ending up 96 cents at $50.38 per barrel.

December gold futures rose almost 7% to 800.50 per ounce.